An Enviromental Risk Management Model in Agriculture

 Abstract

The research deals with a model proposal for environment risk management in agriculture production.

Agriculture production has been tied to nature since its emergence. However, the environmental shifts caused by climate change and the direct action of human being significantly affect agriculture development. Therefore risk management finds fertile ground in agriculture industry ,particularly environment risk management. The aim so set up model for environment risk management in agriculture production, taking a multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary view through the relationship between public policies and law. This article combines a vision from agriculture economic, management and social legal science, With in structure general guideline for environment risk management in agriculture production are set up.an environmental risk management model design. The main result is to to obtain in a model for managing environment risk in agriculture production.

Systematization  of the common element in the model 

The first point of agreement -is that they all treat the definition of objective as part of the risk management model. therefore, organizing  must set up the purpose and aspiration that they pursue with their strategy.  consequently ,the definition of objective makes it possible to show the meaning and scope of the risk management plan or methodology  and the amount of economic and a financial resource and effort to be made by the implementer 

The second overlap  -is the risk identification phase, the most crucial step. Risk identification fundamental to any risk management process ,model or methodology .This step make it possible to document the past and future risk with a level of foresight that allows for the normal development of activity in the question 

while the last identified commonality lies the risk assessment phase ,the phase can be measured using either quantitative or qualitative tools or combination of both , Therefore ,this evaluative analysis a allows for an approximation identified or expected risk and the effectiveness of the proposed action to prevent or mitigate 

Essential Element Of The Environment Risk Management Model In Agriculture Production

 

Identification of environmental risk.

Risk identification reflect the possible negative events that may occur because of events action in agriculture production process. Environment risk should be understood as the probability events and action the negative environmental consequence which have short and medium term impact on different stages sector include agriculture production. this stage is the first phase of designed  model.

1-survey of all the environmental risk that affect the fulfillment of the objective of each establishment process , activities.

2- refine and integrate list of the risks so that they are not repeated, and their number is not necessarily excessive 

3- determine the area(or objective) on which each risk impact

4-identify the nature impact( economic, market, social ).

5- determine the initial and final repercussion of risk.

During the identification of the environment risk ,to complement the actions and offer greater security a multidisciplinary work team must created which allows the environment risk assessed and integrated from different angles 

Assessment

The second phase of the model is the evaluation of the environment risk management system which divided into three stages . 

 Determination of likelihood of the  impact.

The likelihood of the impact will be numerical value from to 4:1 will be unlikely 2 possible ,3 probable and 4 almost certain 

Three variants of probability calculation can be considered calculation to understand the probability of occurrence of the events during application 

A first variants it is qualitative approach- the variant is based on the qualitative estimation of the events or affection possibility of occurrence.

second variant is the quantitative approach-it consists of the quantitative estimate ,which is given mathematical calculation by following formula

P(equivalent   to event) will be equal to= favorable cases 

F(divided by/ possible cases)

N- alternative allows an accurate analysis of events occurrence without incorporating assessment 

last an alternative , the mixed variants can be expressed- this estimation variants is the theoretical combines of the two previous  variants.

Potential impact - is related to the environmental risk identified and will be given in numerical value from

1-to 5 is understood as a value for negligible impact

2-for the monitor impact

3-for moderate impact 

4-when the expected effect is higher

5-when impact severe

In respect the expected impact will be considered  negligible when is does not merit consideration  given its important or value. It is easy and immediate to solve and does not stand for risk in the management of the economic and financial resource of the agriculture enterprise .It means that agriculture production process can usually continue to be carry out given ease of management handling

 

Overall expect- The first refers to the risk when its probability is low.in this sense, managing this types of risk is simple and does not generate complication in the development of the farm business 

this level of the risk is manageable and everything is assumed as mere assumption ,however, keeping  an eye on this kind of risk is advisable 

While medium risk is still simple to handle and manage anticipating its occurrence should generate plan  of measures and action. It does not require an immediate response action to reduce its impact or probability y of occurrence  , but it deserve close monitoring  of its evolution.

The third refers to high risk which generates immediate action to reduce the probability of the occurrence or potential impact. its handling and management  require in depth  discussion to achieve immediate prevent or mitigation.

Control of the Identified Environment Risk 

This phase controlling the identified environmental related to the action to respond to the risk.it define specific measure for mitigating or preventing the identified risk and its risk  and its probability of occurrence considering those responsible for environment risk management  

Response to the general expect risk

The first focuses on risk observation - this action will be given generally be carried out when risk detected and its probability of occurrence is low.  a list of  indicate will be draw to observe the risk evaluation and occurrence ,as combine this environmental risk with other can result in greater effect.

Response is monotint- this type of activity will be carried out when the identified risk its probability of occurrence are average . in this case the earlies step involves thorough observing risk, also set up mediated action plan   for its evolution  and development, considering possible responses action.

Action for prevention-these will be applied when the identified risk is high or extreme . the proactive nature of these measures will be aimed at the preventing the occurrence  of the expected environment risk in advance

Responsibilities

The definition of who handles the action once environment risks , their potential impact and intensity have been identified is an essential  step in model present.. this phase entails delimiting  the specific responsibilities of each person directly involved in the agriculture production process concerning the risks implemented , operation, monitoring  and controlling.

 Risk monitoring  and implement  action effectiveness 

this phase setup a follow up of the identified risk and potential  impact for evaluation effectiveness of the action implemented in its prevention or mitigation.

Outcome

Outcome is given in quantitative and qualitative  evaluation  of the action and activities proposal for environment risk management ,considering their intensity .this phase is influenced by internal and external factor   which can lead to difficulties in decision making.